{
  "meta": {
    "slug": "ebola-bundibugyo-2026",
    "outbreak": "Ebola Outbreak 2026",
    "description": "Indicators derived from the cumulative toll. Estimates, not official statistics: see `assumptions` and /data.",
    "attribution": "Outbreak Files (outbreakfiles.com, unofficial). Figures come from the Wikipedia article's infobox (CC BY-SA 4.0), which cites INSP DRC and WHO; every reading links to the exact revision it was read from. Shared under CC BY-SA 4.0. Not an official public health resource.",
    "docs": "/data#method"
  },
  "status": "ok",
  "asOf": "2026-10-02",
  "windowEnd": "2026-10-01",
  "incidence": {
    "confirmed": {
      "last7": 404,
      "prev7": 416,
      "changePct": -2.8846153846153846
    },
    "deaths": {
      "last7": 203,
      "prev7": 202,
      "changePct": 0.49504950495049505
    }
  },
  "growth": {
    "ratePerDay": {
      "estimate": -0.00418148318573046,
      "low": -0.023739625848113628,
      "high": 0.015376659476652708
    },
    "trend": "stable",
    "doublingTimeDays": null,
    "halvingTimeDays": 165.7658657878496
  },
  "rt": {
    "estimate": 0.9373064894040571,
    "low": 0.6770472113787914,
    "high": 1.25306728097825
  },
  "cfr": {
    "naive": 0.48320194057004245,
    "delayAdjusted": 0.5178733913947745,
    "resolved": 0.6505551926845199
  },
  "weekly": [
    {
      "periodEnd": "2026-08-13",
      "newConfirmed": 593,
      "newDeaths": 327
    },
    {
      "periodEnd": "2026-08-20",
      "newConfirmed": 642,
      "newDeaths": 348
    },
    {
      "periodEnd": "2026-08-27",
      "newConfirmed": 427,
      "newDeaths": 239
    },
    {
      "periodEnd": "2026-09-03",
      "newConfirmed": 551,
      "newDeaths": 292
    },
    {
      "periodEnd": "2026-09-10",
      "newConfirmed": 550,
      "newDeaths": 168
    },
    {
      "periodEnd": "2026-09-17",
      "newConfirmed": 668,
      "newDeaths": 402
    },
    {
      "periodEnd": "2026-09-24",
      "newConfirmed": 416,
      "newDeaths": 202
    },
    {
      "periodEnd": "2026-10-01",
      "newConfirmed": 404,
      "newDeaths": 203
    }
  ],
  "assumptions": {
    "windowDays": 7,
    "minReadingsInTwoWeeks": 5,
    "maxWeeks": 8,
    "maxReportingLagDays": 3,
    "serialIntervalMeanDays": 15.3,
    "serialIntervalSdDays": 9.3,
    "serialIntervalSource": "WHO Ebola Response Team, NEJM 2014 (West Africa, Zaire ebolavirus); not measured for this Bundibugyo outbreak, so Rt carries that extra uncertainty",
    "caseToDeathDays": 10
  },
  "daily": [
    {
      "date": "2026-06-02",
      "confirmed": 330,
      "deaths": 49,
      "newConfirmed": 0,
      "newDeaths": 0,
      "newConfirmed7dAvg": null,
      "interpolated": false
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-06-03",
      "confirmed": 364,
      "deaths": 60,
      "newConfirmed": 34,
      "newDeaths": 10.5,
      "newConfirmed7dAvg": null,
      "interpolated": true
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-06-04",
      "confirmed": 398,
      "deaths": 70,
      "newConfirmed": 34,
      "newDeaths": 10.5,
      "newConfirmed7dAvg": null,
      "interpolated": true
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-06-05",
      "confirmed": 432,
      "deaths": 81,
      "newConfirmed": 34,
      "newDeaths": 10.5,
      "newConfirmed7dAvg": null,
      "interpolated": true
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-06-06",
      "confirmed": 466,
      "deaths": 91,
      "newConfirmed": 34,
      "newDeaths": 10.5,
      "newConfirmed7dAvg": null,
      "interpolated": true
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-06-07",
      "confirmed": 500,
      "deaths": 102,
      "newConfirmed": 34,
      "newDeaths": 10.5,
      "newConfirmed7dAvg": null,
      "interpolated": true
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-06-08",
      "confirmed": 534,
      "deaths": 112,
      "newConfirmed": 34,
      "newDeaths": 10.5,
      "newConfirmed7dAvg": null,
      "interpolated": true
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-06-09",
      "confirmed": 568,
      "deaths": 123,
      "newConfirmed": 34,
      "newDeaths": 10.5,
      "newConfirmed7dAvg": 34,
      "interpolated": true
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-06-10",
      "confirmed": 602,
      "deaths": 133,
      "newConfirmed": 34,
      "newDeaths": 10.5,
      "newConfirmed7dAvg": 34,
      "interpolated": true
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-06-11",
      "confirmed": 636,
      "deaths": 144,
      "newConfirmed": 34,
      "newDeaths": 10.5,
      "newConfirmed7dAvg": 34,
      "interpolated": true
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-06-12",
      "confirmed": 670,
      "deaths": 154,
      "newConfirmed": 34,
      "newDeaths": 10.5,
      "newConfirmed7dAvg": 34,
      "interpolated": true
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-06-13",
      "confirmed": 704,
      "deaths": 165,
      "newConfirmed": 34,
      "newDeaths": 10.5,
      "newConfirmed7dAvg": 34,
      "interpolated": true
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-06-14",
      "confirmed": 738,
      "deaths": 175,
      "newConfirmed": 34,
      "newDeaths": 10.5,
      "newConfirmed7dAvg": 34,
      "interpolated": true
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-06-15",
      "confirmed": 772,
      "deaths": 186,
      "newConfirmed": 34,
      "newDeaths": 10.5,
      "newConfirmed7dAvg": 34,
      "interpolated": true
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-06-16",
      "confirmed": 806,
      "deaths": 196,
      "newConfirmed": 34,
      "newDeaths": 10.5,
      "newConfirmed7dAvg": 34,
      "interpolated": true
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-06-17",
      "confirmed": 840,
      "deaths": 207,
      "newConfirmed": 34,
      "newDeaths": 10.5,
      "newConfirmed7dAvg": 34,
      "interpolated": true
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-06-18",
      "confirmed": 874,
      "deaths": 217,
      "newConfirmed": 34,
      "newDeaths": 10.5,
      "newConfirmed7dAvg": 34,
      "interpolated": true
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-06-19",
      "confirmed": 908,
      "deaths": 228,
      "newConfirmed": 34,
      "newDeaths": 10.5,
      "newConfirmed7dAvg": 34,
      "interpolated": true
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-06-20",
      "confirmed": 942,
      "deaths": 238,
      "newConfirmed": 34,
      "newDeaths": 10.5,
      "newConfirmed7dAvg": 34,
      "interpolated": true
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-06-21",
      "confirmed": 976,
      "deaths": 249,
      "newConfirmed": 34,
      "newDeaths": 10.5,
      "newConfirmed7dAvg": 34,
      "interpolated": false
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-06-22",
      "confirmed": 1023,
      "deaths": 256,
      "newConfirmed": 47,
      "newDeaths": 7,
      "newConfirmed7dAvg": 35.9,
      "interpolated": false
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-06-23",
      "confirmed": 1023,
      "deaths": 256,
      "newConfirmed": 0,
      "newDeaths": 0,
      "newConfirmed7dAvg": 31,
      "interpolated": false
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-06-24",
      "confirmed": 1118,
      "deaths": 291,
      "newConfirmed": 95,
      "newDeaths": 35,
      "newConfirmed7dAvg": 39.7,
      "interpolated": false
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-06-25",
      "confirmed": 1153,
      "deaths": 302,
      "newConfirmed": 35.3,
      "newDeaths": 10.7,
      "newConfirmed7dAvg": 39.9,
      "interpolated": true
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-06-26",
      "confirmed": 1189,
      "deaths": 312,
      "newConfirmed": 35.3,
      "newDeaths": 10.7,
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      "interpolated": true
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-06-27",
      "confirmed": 1224,
      "deaths": 323,
      "newConfirmed": 35.3,
      "newDeaths": 10.7,
      "newConfirmed7dAvg": 40.3,
      "interpolated": false
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-06-28",
      "confirmed": 1224,
      "deaths": 323,
      "newConfirmed": 0,
      "newDeaths": 0,
      "newConfirmed7dAvg": 35.4,
      "interpolated": false
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-06-29",
      "confirmed": 1267,
      "deaths": 349,
      "newConfirmed": 43.3,
      "newDeaths": 26,
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      "interpolated": true
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-06-30",
      "confirmed": 1311,
      "deaths": 375,
      "newConfirmed": 43.3,
      "newDeaths": 26,
      "newConfirmed7dAvg": 41.1,
      "interpolated": true
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-07-01",
      "confirmed": 1354,
      "deaths": 401,
      "newConfirmed": 43.3,
      "newDeaths": 26,
      "newConfirmed7dAvg": 33.7,
      "interpolated": false
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-07-02",
      "confirmed": 1427,
      "deaths": 440,
      "newConfirmed": 73,
      "newDeaths": 39,
      "newConfirmed7dAvg": 39.1,
      "interpolated": false
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-07-03",
      "confirmed": 1488,
      "deaths": 467,
      "newConfirmed": 61,
      "newDeaths": 27,
      "newConfirmed7dAvg": 42.8,
      "interpolated": true
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-07-04",
      "confirmed": 1549,
      "deaths": 494,
      "newConfirmed": 61,
      "newDeaths": 27,
      "newConfirmed7dAvg": 46.4,
      "interpolated": false
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-07-05",
      "confirmed": 1582,
      "deaths": 508,
      "newConfirmed": 33,
      "newDeaths": 14,
      "newConfirmed7dAvg": 51.1,
      "interpolated": false
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-07-06",
      "confirmed": 1582,
      "deaths": 508,
      "newConfirmed": 0,
      "newDeaths": 0,
      "newConfirmed7dAvg": 45,
      "interpolated": false
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-07-07",
      "confirmed": 1645,
      "deaths": 523,
      "newConfirmed": 63,
      "newDeaths": 15,
      "newConfirmed7dAvg": 47.8,
      "interpolated": false
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-07-08",
      "confirmed": 1780,
      "deaths": 602,
      "newConfirmed": 135,
      "newDeaths": 79,
      "newConfirmed7dAvg": 60.9,
      "interpolated": false
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-07-09",
      "confirmed": 1813,
      "deaths": 627,
      "newConfirmed": 33,
      "newDeaths": 25,
      "newConfirmed7dAvg": 55.1,
      "interpolated": false
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-07-10",
      "confirmed": 1813,
      "deaths": 627,
      "newConfirmed": 0,
      "newDeaths": 0,
      "newConfirmed7dAvg": 46.4,
      "interpolated": false
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-07-11",
      "confirmed": 1813,
      "deaths": 627,
      "newConfirmed": 0,
      "newDeaths": 0,
      "newConfirmed7dAvg": 37.7,
      "interpolated": false
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-07-12",
      "confirmed": 1894,
      "deaths": 674,
      "newConfirmed": 81,
      "newDeaths": 47,
      "newConfirmed7dAvg": 44.6,
      "interpolated": false
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-07-13",
      "confirmed": 1947,
      "deaths": 704,
      "newConfirmed": 53,
      "newDeaths": 30,
      "newConfirmed7dAvg": 52.1,
      "interpolated": false
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-07-14",
      "confirmed": 1947,
      "deaths": 704,
      "newConfirmed": 0,
      "newDeaths": 0,
      "newConfirmed7dAvg": 43.1,
      "interpolated": false
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-07-15",
      "confirmed": 2032,
      "deaths": 756,
      "newConfirmed": 85,
      "newDeaths": 52,
      "newConfirmed7dAvg": 36,
      "interpolated": false
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-07-16",
      "confirmed": 2094,
      "deaths": 798,
      "newConfirmed": 62,
      "newDeaths": 42,
      "newConfirmed7dAvg": 40.1,
      "interpolated": false
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-07-17",
      "confirmed": 2202,
      "deaths": 866,
      "newConfirmed": 108,
      "newDeaths": 68,
      "newConfirmed7dAvg": 55.6,
      "interpolated": false
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-07-18",
      "confirmed": 2202,
      "deaths": 866,
      "newConfirmed": 0,
      "newDeaths": 0,
      "newConfirmed7dAvg": 55.6,
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    },
    {
      "date": "2026-07-19",
      "confirmed": 2288,
      "deaths": 895,
      "newConfirmed": 86,
      "newDeaths": 29,
      "newConfirmed7dAvg": 56.3,
      "interpolated": false
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-07-20",
      "confirmed": 2365,
      "deaths": 932,
      "newConfirmed": 77,
      "newDeaths": 37,
      "newConfirmed7dAvg": 59.7,
      "interpolated": false
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-07-21",
      "confirmed": 2444,
      "deaths": 969,
      "newConfirmed": 79,
      "newDeaths": 37,
      "newConfirmed7dAvg": 71,
      "interpolated": false
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-07-22",
      "confirmed": 2494,
      "deaths": 1001,
      "newConfirmed": 50,
      "newDeaths": 32,
      "newConfirmed7dAvg": 66,
      "interpolated": false
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-07-23",
      "confirmed": 2557,
      "deaths": 1035,
      "newConfirmed": 63,
      "newDeaths": 34,
      "newConfirmed7dAvg": 66.1,
      "interpolated": false
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-07-24",
      "confirmed": 2926,
      "deaths": 1271,
      "newConfirmed": 369,
      "newDeaths": 236,
      "newConfirmed7dAvg": 103.4,
      "interpolated": false
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-07-25",
      "confirmed": 2994,
      "deaths": 1311,
      "newConfirmed": 68,
      "newDeaths": 40,
      "newConfirmed7dAvg": 113.1,
      "interpolated": false
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-07-26",
      "confirmed": 3096,
      "deaths": 1356,
      "newConfirmed": 102,
      "newDeaths": 45,
      "newConfirmed7dAvg": 115.4,
      "interpolated": false
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-07-27",
      "confirmed": 3221,
      "deaths": 1407,
      "newConfirmed": 125,
      "newDeaths": 51,
      "newConfirmed7dAvg": 122.3,
      "interpolated": false
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-07-28",
      "confirmed": 3283,
      "deaths": 1439,
      "newConfirmed": 62,
      "newDeaths": 32,
      "newConfirmed7dAvg": 119.9,
      "interpolated": false
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-07-29",
      "confirmed": 3381,
      "deaths": 1489,
      "newConfirmed": 98,
      "newDeaths": 50,
      "newConfirmed7dAvg": 126.7,
      "interpolated": false
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-07-30",
      "confirmed": 3381,
      "deaths": 1489,
      "newConfirmed": 0,
      "newDeaths": 0,
      "newConfirmed7dAvg": 117.7,
      "interpolated": false
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-07-31",
      "confirmed": 3442,
      "deaths": 1558,
      "newConfirmed": 61,
      "newDeaths": 69,
      "newConfirmed7dAvg": 73.7,
      "interpolated": false
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-08-01",
      "confirmed": 3626,
      "deaths": 1589,
      "newConfirmed": 184,
      "newDeaths": 31,
      "newConfirmed7dAvg": 90.3,
      "interpolated": false
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-08-02",
      "confirmed": 3695,
      "deaths": 1623,
      "newConfirmed": 69,
      "newDeaths": 34,
      "newConfirmed7dAvg": 85.6,
      "interpolated": false
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-08-03",
      "confirmed": 3769,
      "deaths": 1659,
      "newConfirmed": 74,
      "newDeaths": 36,
      "newConfirmed7dAvg": 78.3,
      "interpolated": false
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-08-04",
      "confirmed": 3823,
      "deaths": 1709,
      "newConfirmed": 54,
      "newDeaths": 50,
      "newConfirmed7dAvg": 77.1,
      "interpolated": false
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-08-05",
      "confirmed": 3895,
      "deaths": 1753,
      "newConfirmed": 72,
      "newDeaths": 44,
      "newConfirmed7dAvg": 73.4,
      "interpolated": false
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-08-06",
      "confirmed": 3994,
      "deaths": 1803,
      "newConfirmed": 99,
      "newDeaths": 50,
      "newConfirmed7dAvg": 87.6,
      "interpolated": false
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-08-07",
      "confirmed": 4074,
      "deaths": 1852,
      "newConfirmed": 80,
      "newDeaths": 49,
      "newConfirmed7dAvg": 90.3,
      "interpolated": false
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-08-08",
      "confirmed": 4074,
      "deaths": 1852,
      "newConfirmed": 0,
      "newDeaths": 0,
      "newConfirmed7dAvg": 64,
      "interpolated": false
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-08-09",
      "confirmed": 4230,
      "deaths": 1918,
      "newConfirmed": 156,
      "newDeaths": 66,
      "newConfirmed7dAvg": 76.4,
      "interpolated": false
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-08-10",
      "confirmed": 4230,
      "deaths": 1918,
      "newConfirmed": 0,
      "newDeaths": 0,
      "newConfirmed7dAvg": 65.9,
      "interpolated": false
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-08-11",
      "confirmed": 4350,
      "deaths": 1991,
      "newConfirmed": 120,
      "newDeaths": 72.5,
      "newConfirmed7dAvg": 75.3,
      "interpolated": true
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-08-12",
      "confirmed": 4470,
      "deaths": 2063,
      "newConfirmed": 120,
      "newDeaths": 72.5,
      "newConfirmed7dAvg": 82.1,
      "interpolated": false
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-08-13",
      "confirmed": 4587,
      "deaths": 2130,
      "newConfirmed": 117,
      "newDeaths": 67,
      "newConfirmed7dAvg": 84.7,
      "interpolated": false
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-08-14",
      "confirmed": 4748,
      "deaths": 2216,
      "newConfirmed": 161,
      "newDeaths": 86,
      "newConfirmed7dAvg": 96.3,
      "interpolated": false
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-08-15",
      "confirmed": 4748,
      "deaths": 2216,
      "newConfirmed": 0,
      "newDeaths": 0,
      "newConfirmed7dAvg": 96.3,
      "interpolated": false
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-08-16",
      "confirmed": 4966,
      "deaths": 2327,
      "newConfirmed": 218,
      "newDeaths": 111,
      "newConfirmed7dAvg": 105.1,
      "interpolated": false
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-08-17",
      "confirmed": 4966,
      "deaths": 2327,
      "newConfirmed": 0,
      "newDeaths": 0,
      "newConfirmed7dAvg": 105.1,
      "interpolated": false
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-08-18",
      "confirmed": 5042,
      "deaths": 2380,
      "newConfirmed": 76,
      "newDeaths": 53,
      "newConfirmed7dAvg": 98.9,
      "interpolated": false
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-08-19",
      "confirmed": 5229,
      "deaths": 2478,
      "newConfirmed": 187,
      "newDeaths": 98,
      "newConfirmed7dAvg": 108.4,
      "interpolated": false
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-08-20",
      "confirmed": 5229,
      "deaths": 2478,
      "newConfirmed": 0,
      "newDeaths": 0,
      "newConfirmed7dAvg": 91.7,
      "interpolated": false
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-08-21",
      "confirmed": 5311,
      "deaths": 2518,
      "newConfirmed": 82,
      "newDeaths": 40,
      "newConfirmed7dAvg": 80.4,
      "interpolated": false
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-08-22",
      "confirmed": 5311,
      "deaths": 2518,
      "newConfirmed": 0,
      "newDeaths": 0,
      "newConfirmed7dAvg": 80.4,
      "interpolated": false
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-08-23",
      "confirmed": 5535,
      "deaths": 2644,
      "newConfirmed": 224,
      "newDeaths": 126,
      "newConfirmed7dAvg": 81.3,
      "interpolated": false
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-08-24",
      "confirmed": 5535,
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